Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.221018 0.256559 0.296019 0.343087 0.397723 0.459173 0.533575
2025-05-18 0.161561 0.207837 0.264710 0.339801 0.436457 0.556858 0.718531
2025-05-25 0.127180 0.175549 0.239287 0.329529 0.454254 0.620955 0.861397
2025-06-01 0.110083 0.160946 0.231895 0.338256 0.494082 0.714727 1.052234
2025-06-08 0.095358 0.146516 0.221472 0.339535 0.521456 0.792260 1.228161
2025-06-15 0.085071 0.136641 0.215594 0.345580 0.555132 0.881368 1.431089
2025-06-22 0.073859 0.123509 0.202615 0.338197 0.565945 0.935271 1.584110
2025-06-29 0.065504 0.113697 0.193372 0.335116 0.582467 0.999055 1.759844
2025-07-06 0.059428 0.106816 0.187914 0.337322 0.607537 1.079091 1.972194
2025-07-13 0.056435 0.104851 0.190472 0.353535 0.658640 1.209367 2.289194
2025-07-20 0.053079 0.101753 0.190543 0.365042 0.702225 1.330653 2.604020
2025-07-27 0.049957 0.098668 0.190191 0.375535 0.744840 1.454488 2.938306
2025-08-03 0.046092 0.093776 0.186044 0.378559 0.774071 1.557578 3.247986
2025-08-10 0.041915 0.087766 0.179056 0.375126 0.790088 1.636803 3.520097
2025-08-17 0.037445 0.080590 0.168862 0.363772 0.788158 1.678946 3.718897
2025-08-24 0.035474 0.078425 0.168671 0.373415 0.831785 1.820941 4.151875
2025-08-31 0.032968 0.074786 0.164929 0.374828 0.857463 1.927099 4.517982
2025-09-07 0.031137 0.072422 0.163648 0.381508 0.895619 2.064894 4.973930
2025-09-14 0.028365 0.067572 0.156289 0.373350 0.898479 2.122829 5.248109
2025-09-21 0.026210 0.063912 0.151221 0.369946 0.912111 2.207203 5.597072
2025-09-28 0.024638 0.061467 0.148709 0.372383 0.940164 2.329050 6.055001
2025-10-05 0.024132 0.061581 0.152305 0.390299 1.008850 2.557984 6.816560
2025-10-12 0.023332 0.060860 0.153777 0.403014 1.065802 2.764173 7.545230